Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.490161e-01 0.337423 0.441137 0.569805 0.723142 0.898088 1.110785
2026-01-18 1.284179e-01 0.227154 0.363563 0.556478 0.812927 1.133127 1.553737
2026-01-25 6.804670e-02 0.162136 0.315930 0.561173 0.918386 1.396800 2.061917
2026-02-01 3.128553e-02 0.108766 0.262337 0.539100 0.978285 1.603967 2.516303
2026-02-08 1.644401e-02 0.084301 0.244737 0.564302 1.105508 1.911684 3.126831
2026-02-15 7.131780e-03 0.061322 0.218484 0.565884 1.192779 2.166333 3.678592
2026-02-22 3.693456e-03 0.051893 0.216855 0.610549 1.353088 2.539009 4.417919
2026-03-01 1.515970e-03 0.041691 0.207702 0.637003 1.483248 2.872100 5.114392
2026-03-08 3.907415e-04 0.031202 0.190991 0.642467 1.574713 3.147888 5.736287
2026-03-15 3.146813e-05 0.021596 0.169310 0.630176 1.629943 3.366221 6.278281
2026-03-22 7.738368e-08 0.016332 0.159115 0.642132 1.730927 3.663397 6.951135
2026-03-29 NaN 0.011677 0.146440 0.643890 1.810554 3.927199 7.579851
2026-04-05 NaN 0.007041 0.126770 0.621776 1.841028 4.112408 8.098799
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004107 0.110987 0.605536 1.881250 4.316201 8.655265
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002603 0.102523 0.609459 1.965206 4.601332 9.353137
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001201 0.087528 0.585513 1.982997 4.766689 9.859101
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000841 0.086487 0.611948 2.119740 5.156251 10.748094
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000418 0.079604 0.613478 2.197055 5.437866 11.463753
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000357 0.083606 0.660675 2.388821 5.941745 12.566035
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000229 0.083071 0.688605 2.534988 6.363711 13.538680
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000095 0.077824 0.694357 2.626151 6.683595 14.344813
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000018 0.069245 0.681356 2.668103 6.909602 14.995112
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000003 0.066220 0.693987 2.777128 7.269527 15.883606